Trying to understand

From today’s Times in London

The trick for us, living in an impossibly intricate society, is to distinguish between those with cause for genuine confidence and those charismatics who are just whistling in the wind. Whether we’re voting, investing or making one of life’s big decisions, we have to be on guard against wishful thinking and our evolutionary tendency to be swept up by fashion or enthusiasm. We should confine certainties to what we know and

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